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Journal of Biophotonics

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Biophotonics's content profile, based on 16 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Automated Detection of Dental Caries and Bone Loss on Periapical and Bitewing Radiographs using a YOLO Based Deep Learning Model

Alqaderi, H.; Kapadia, U.; Brahmbhatt, Y.; Papathanasiou, A.; Rodgers, D.; Arsenault, P.; Cardarelli, J.; Zavras, A.; Li, H.

2026-04-17 dentistry and oral medicine 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350726 medRxiv
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BackgroundDental caries and periodontal disease represent the most prevalent global oral health conditions, collectively affecting several billion people. The diagnostic interpretation of dental radiographs, a cornerstone of modern dentistry, is associated with considerable inter-observer variability. In routine clinical practice, clinicians are required to evaluate a high volume of radiographic images daily, a cognitively demanding task in which diagnostic fatigue, time constraints, and the inherent complexity of overlapping anatomical structures can lead to the inadvertent oversight of early-stage pathologies. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers a transformative opportunity to augment clinical decision-making by providing rapid, objective, and consistent radiographic analysis, thereby serving as a tireless adjunct capable of flagging findings that may be missed during routine human inspection. MethodsThis study developed and validated a deep learning system for the automated detection of dental caries and alveolar bone loss using a dataset of 1,063 periapical and bitewing radiographs. Two separate YOLOv8s object detection models were trained and evaluated using a rigorous 5-fold cross-validation methodology. To align with the clinical use-case of a screening tool where high sensitivity is paramount, a custom image-level evaluation criterion was employed: a true positive was recorded if any predicted bounding box had a Jaccard Index (IoU) > 0 with any ground truth annotation. Model performance was systematically evaluated at confidence thresholds of 0.10 and 0.05. ResultsAt a confidence threshold of 0.05, the caries detection model achieved a mean precision of 84.41% ({+/-}0.72%), recall of 85.97% ({+/-}4.72%), and an F1-score of 85.13% ({+/-}2.61%). The alveolar bone loss model demonstrated exceptionally high performance, with a mean precision of 95.47% ({+/-}0.94%), recall of 98.60% ({+/-}0.49%), and an F1-score of 97.00% ({+/-}0.46%). ConclusionThe YOLOv8-based models demonstrated high accuracy and high sensitivity for detecting dental caries and alveolar bone loss on periapical radiographs. The system shows significant potential as a reliable automated assistant for dental practitioners, helping to improve diagnostic consistency, reduce the risk of missed pathology, and ultimately enhance the standard of patient care.

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A clinicoradiological model for preoperative prediction of lateral lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer

Shen, Q.; Wang, G.; Fu, M.; Yao, K.; Yang, Y.; Zeng, Q.; Guo, Y.

2026-04-15 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350816 medRxiv
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Background: Lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) is associated with poor prognosis in patients with rectal cancer and may influence the indication for lateral lymph node dissection. Accurate preoperative identification of LLNM remains challenging. This study aimed to develop and internally validate a clinicoradiological model for preoperative prediction of LLNM in rectal cancer. Methods A retrospective cohort of 64 patients undergoing lateral lymph node dissection (LLND) for rectal cancer was analysed; 21 (32.8%) had pathological lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM). A prespecified preoperative clinicoradiological model was fitted using penalised logistic regression with L2 regularisation (ridge), incorporating MRI-measured lateral lymph node short-axis diameter (LLN-SAD), dichotomised clinical T stage (T3-4 vs T1-2), dichotomised clinical N stage (N+ vs N0), and log(CA19-9+1). Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration analysis, and bootstrap internal validation. Results The model showed good discrimination (AUC 0.914), with an optimism-corrected AUC of 0.887 on bootstrap validation. Calibration remained acceptable after optimism correction (calibration intercept -0.127; slope 1.045). Decision curve analysis suggested net benefit across clinically relevant threshold probabilities, particularly between 0.10 and 0.30. The model was implemented as a web-based calculator to facilitate clinical use. Conclusion This clinicoradiological model showed good discrimination, acceptable calibration, and potential clinical utility for preoperative assessment of LLNM risk in rectal cancer. It may assist individualized risk stratification and treatment planning, although external validation is required before routine clinical implementation.

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AENEAS Project: First real-time intraoperative application of machine vision-based anatomical guidance in neurosurgery

Sarwin, G.; Ricciuti, V.; Staartjes, V. E.; Carretta, A.; Daher, N.; Li, Z.; Regli, L.; Mazzatenta, D.; Zoli, M.; Seungjun, R.; Konukoglu, E.; Serra, C.

2026-04-11 surgery 10.64898/2026.04.09.26348607 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: We report the first intraoperative deployment of a real-time machine vision system in neurosurgery, derived from our previous anatomical detection work, automatically identifying structures during endoscopic endonasal surgery. Existing systems demonstrate promising performance in offline anatomical recognition, yet so far none have been implemented during live operations. Methods: A real-time anatomy detection model was trained using the YOLOv8 architecture (Ultralytics). Following training completion in the PyTorch environment, the model was exported to ONNX format and further optimized using the NVIDIA TensorRT engine. Deployment was carried out using the NVIDIA Holoscan SDK, the system ran on an NVIDIA Clara AGX developer kit. We used the model for real-time recognition of intraoperative anatomical structures and compared it with the same video labelled manually as reference. Model performance was reported using the average precision at an intersection-over-union threshold of 0.5 (AP50). Furthermore, end-to-end delay from frame acquisition to the display of the annotated output was measured. Results: A mean AP50 of 0.56 was achieved. The model demonstrated reliable detection of the most relevant landmarks in the transsphenoidal corridor. The mean end-to-end latency of the model was 47.81 ms (median 46.57 ms). Conclusion: For the first time, we demonstrate that clinical-grade, real-time machine-vision assistance during neurosurgery is feasible and can provide continuous, automated anatomical guidance from the surgical field. This approach may enhance intraoperative orientation, reduce cognitive load, and offer a powerful tool for surgical training. These findings represent an initial step toward integrating real-time AI support into routine neurosurgical workflows.

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Algorithm-Based Model for Gastrointestinal and Liver Histopathological Analysis Using VGG16 and Specialized Stains: Statistical Validation of Thresholds in AI-Driven Digital Pathology

Adeluwoye, A. O.; Gbadegesin, M. O.; James, F. M.; Otegbade, P. S.; Alabetutu, A.

2026-04-11 pathology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350456 medRxiv
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Digital pathology, coupled with advanced image recognition algorithms, represents a transformative frontier in histopathological diagnosis. This sub-Saharan African laboratorys exploratory study investigates the application of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model, specifically leveraging the VGG16 architecture with transfer learning, for automated analysis and classification of selected gastrointestinal (GIT) and liver tissue samples, incorporating both routine and specialized staining protocols. The study utilized a dataset comprising 114 samples (18 liver, 96 GIT images) derived from archival formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue blocks at University College Hospital, Ibadan, Nigeria. Specialized staining techniques included Alcian Yellow for GIT mucin visualization and Massons Trichrome for liver fibrosis assessment, alongside conventional H&E staining. Model performance was evaluated using statistical methodologies including Wilson Score confidence intervals (CI), Bayesian probability assessment, and effect size analysis. Results reveal a striking dichotomy in model performance. The GIT tissue model achieved perfect classification accuracy (100% test accuracy) with exceptional statistical significance (Z=10.0, p<0.0001), Wilson CI [96.29%, 99.99%], Cohens h=1.571, and Bayesian probability >99.99%. Conversely, the liver tissue model demonstrated diagnostic failure (42.86% test accuracy), with Z=-1.428, p=0.9236, Wilson CI [33.59%, 52.65%], Cohens h=-0.144, and Bayesian probability of 7.64%. This performance divergence correlates with training data availability, as the liver dataset fell far below empirically established thresholds (>100-200 samples) for reliable classification. The liver models failure reveals limitations in transfer learning with insufficient data. These findings underscore critical implications for AI-enhanced digital pathology, demonstrating potential deployment of the GIT model as a promising one that supports tissue-specific model development.

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Breaking the seasonal barrier: feasibility of cuffless fingertip-based continuous blood pressure monitoring in older adults during winter exercise

Mizutani, N.; Nishizawa, S.; Enomoto, Y.; OKAMOTO, H.; Baba, R.; Misawa, A.; Takahashi, K.; Tada, Y.; LIN, Y.-C.; Shih, W.-P.

2026-04-16 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350440 medRxiv
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While the need for continuous blood pressure (BP) monitoring in Japan is high, there are no commercially available cuffless devices for personal daily monitoring use. Fingertip-based sensors are a promising alternative as they eliminate the discomfort of repeated cuff inflation. However, their reliability during winter has been a major technical limitation due to cold-induced peripheral vasoconstriction. This study aimed to address this issue by validating a novel fingertip-based continuous BP monitor used by exercising adults during summer and winter. Eleven community-dwelling older adults (mean age, 73.1 {+/-} 8.8 years) were included in this seasonal comparative study. During exercise, we compared a personal fingertip-based continuous monitor (ArteVu) with a standard oscillometric cuff device (Omron) in summer (mean, 26.5{degrees}C) and winter (mean, 7.4{degrees}C). The study also evaluated the device's accuracy during exercise-induced BP fluctuations and seasonal environmental changes. Awareness of the participants regarding BP management was also assessed using questionnaires. There were strong correlations for systolic BP (SBP) between summer and winter (r = 0.93 in summer; r = 0.88 in winter). Although the mean difference for the SBP was higher in winter than in summer (3.1 {+/-} 11.2 mmHg vs. 0.2 {+/-} 9.4 mmHg), the values remained within a clinically acceptable range for personal monitoring. Notably, 72.7% of participants reported that the ease of using the fingertip-based device significantly increased their awareness and motivation for daily BP management. This study confirms the feasibility of cuffless fingertip-based continuous BP monitoring across different seasons, including in winter. By overcoming the seasonal limitations, this device fills a critical gap in the Japanese health-monitoring market. Our findings support the development of smaller and more portable models, representing a shift from traditional "snapshot" cuff measurements to continuous and integrated lifestyle monitoring for older adults.

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Association of axial length and changes in aqueous depth with refractive outcomes in Chinese primary angle closure glaucoma patients

Wang, L.; Yang, Y.; Ng, T. K.; Chen, J.; Sun, X.

2026-04-14 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350671 medRxiv
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Purpose: To identify the ocular biometric parameters associated with refractive outcomes in Chinese Primary angle closure glaucoma (PACG) patients receiving phacoemulsification and intraocular lens (IOL) implantation (PEI) surgery. Methods: 165 Chinese PACG patients receiving PEI and goniosynechialysis (GSL) and 53 cataract patients as controls only receiving PEI surgery were recruited. The prediction accuracy of IOL power calculation was assessed by the prediction error (PE), mean absolute error (MAE), median absolute error (MedAE), and proportions of eyes with a PE within {+/-} 0.25 diopters (D), {+/-} 0.50 D, {+/-} 0.75 D, and {+/-} 1.00 D. The association of different ocular biometric parameters with the PE of IOL calculation were evaluated. Results: The PACG patients had significantly higher absolute of PE as compared to the control subjects, especially the acute PACG patients. The axial length (AL), changes in aqueous depth pre- and post-surgery ({bigtriangleup}AD), and the ratio of {bigtriangleup}AD/AL were significantly associated with the PE in acute PACG patients. The association of {bigtriangleup}AD with the PE of IOL power calculation was found in PACG patients with AL [&ge;] 22 mm. Conclusions: This study revealed the association of AL and {bigtriangleup}AD with the PE of IOL calculation in Chinese PACG patients. Precisely predict the {bigtriangleup}AD is necessary for acute PACG patients, especially for those with AL [&ge;] 22 mm, to improve the refractive outcomes.

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Efficacy of Highly Aspherical Lenslet (HAL) spectacles in slowing myopia progression in children and adolescents: A multi-centre, retrospective, real-world study in India-SOLIDITY study

Saxena, R.; Jethani, J.; Roy, L.; Matalia, J.; Verkicharla, P. K.; Ganesh, S.; Parthasarathy, A.; Nayak, S.; Gupta, V.; Narendran, K.; Panmand, P.; Ghosh, P.; Muthu, S.; Srivastava, K.; Prenat, O.

2026-04-13 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350578 medRxiv
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Objective: The study aims to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of Highly Aspherical Lenslets spectacle (HAL; Essilor(R) Stellest(R)) in slowing myopia progression among Indian children and adolescents aged between 4 and 16 years. Methods and analysis: This was a multicentre retrospective study conducted across 10 leading ophthalmic centers. The study participants comprised children aged between 4 and 16 years who were prescribed HAL spectacles (Essilor(R) Stellest(R)). Data were extracted from electronic medical records at three time points: T1: One year prior to intervention; T2: Baseline at HAL spectacle prescription; T3: 6 to 24 months after prescription. The primary endpoint was the myopia progression and axial elongation in the year following prescription, compared with the untreated year and with published meta-regression models. Only data from the right eye were analysed, with the expected physiological progression estimated based on the individual progression trajectory after adjusting for age-related slowing as reported in published meta-regression models. Results: A total of 372 myopic children were included in the study. The annual myopia progression was -0.72 {+/-} 0.47 D/year during the untreated period, reducing to -0.11 {+/-} 0.29 D/year with HAL spectacle wear. The expected progression without treatment was -0.65 D/year, based on trajectory-adjusted modelling, indicating a treatment effect of 0.54 D/years and an estimated 83% slowing in myopia progression compared to expected progression. The expected axial elongation under physiological conditions was 0.29 mm/year, estimated using age-adjusted meta-regression models; with HAL lens wear, axial elongation was 0.11 {+/-} 0.16 mm/year, corresponding to a [~]62% relative slowing of elongation. Conclusion: The present study demonstrates the real-world evidence validating the efficacy of HAL lenses as an effective myopia control intervention in Indian children and adolescents. The retrospective design and limited follow-up period warrant future prospective, long-term studies to validate these findings.

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GPS Mobility Tracking, Ecological Momentary Assessment, and Qualitative Interviewing to Specify How Space Produces Intersectional Health Inequities: Development and Pilot Testing of the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF) and IGEMA Methodology

Cook, S. H.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350546 medRxiv
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Background. Young sexual and gender minorities of color face compound health risks shaped by interlocking systems of racism, cisgenderism, and class inequality. Spatial health research documents that place shapes health, but existing methods cannot specify the mechanisms through which spatial configurations produce different health outcomes for differently positioned people. This gap prevents targeted intervention. ObjectiveTo develop and pilot test the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF), which specifies three mechanisms through which space produces intersectional health inequities: Layered (multiple oppressive systems activating simultaneously), Positional (the same space producing different health pathways by intersectional position), and Conditional (nominally protective spaces carrying hidden costs for specific positions). We also introduce and validate Intersectional Geographically-Explicit Ecological Momentary Assessment (IGEMA) as the methodology operationalizing SIHF across three data levels. MethodsThe GeoSense study enrolled 32 young sexual and gender minorities of color (ages 18-29) in New York City. IGEMA was implemented across three integrated levels: (1) GPS mobility tracking via participants personal smartphones, linked to census tract structural exposure indices across n=19 participants; (2) ecological momentary assessment of intersectional discrimination with multilevel modeling of mood, stress, and sleep outcomes; and (3) map-guided qualitative interviews with SIHF mechanism coding and intercoder reliability assessment across 92 coded records from 18 participants. This study was conducted as the pilot for NIH R01HL169503. ResultsAll three SIHF mechanisms were empirically detectable. A compound structural gendered racism index outperformed every single-axis alternative in predicting daily mood (b=-0.048, p=.001) and stress (b=0.121, p<.001). The Positional mechanism accounted for 71% of coded harm experiences. Intercoder reliability for mechanism assignment reached kappa=0.824 at Stage 2 reconciliation. Daily intersectional discrimination predicted greater sleep disturbance (b=1.308, p=.004). ConclusionsSIHF and IGEMA together provide an empirically testable framework for specifying how space produces intersectional health inequities. Mechanism specification, not spatial location alone, is the condition for designing research and intervention that reaches the source of harm for multiply marginalized populations.

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A multidomain intrinsic capacity score tracks longitudinal health trajectories in the UK Biobank

Zhai, T.; Babu, M.; Fuentealba, M.; Al Dajani, S.; Gladyshev, V. N.; Furman, D.; Snyder, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350621 medRxiv
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Quantitative measures for tracking functional health have generally been lacking. Intrinsic capacity (IC) has been proposed as an appropriate measure, but its metrics have been derived in small datasets and sparse longitudinal data. Using harmonized measures of cognition, locomotion, sensory function, vitality, and psychological well-being from 501,615 UK Biobank participants and followed for a median of 15.5 years, we derived domain-specific and composite IC scores. We examined associations with incident disease, cause-specific mortality, multimorbidity, lifestyle and socioeconomic factors, and multi-omic profiles from Olink proteomics, NMR metabolomics, clinical biochemistry, and blood-cell traits. We found that composite IC declined non-linearly with age, and within-person decline was steeper than the cross-sectional age measures. Participants with greater baseline morbidity, those who subsequently developed incident disease, and those who died earlier in follow-up showed lower IC trajectories across adulthood. The IC domains were only modestly correlated with one another, supporting multidimensionality, yet higher overall IC was associated with lower risk of most diseases examined. The dominant IC domain varied by endpoint, with cognition informative for dementia, sensory function for hearing loss, psychological capacity for depression, locomotion for osteoarthritis, and vitality for cardiometabolic outcomes. IC was also associated cross-sectionally with physical activity, insomnia, smoking, medication burden, and socioeconomic disadvantage. More proteins were found predictive for vitality, and enrichment converged on immune/inflammatory and metabolic pathways. Blood-based surrogates recapitulated part of the phenotypic signal, particularly for vitality. Overall, this IC framework captures longitudinal health trajectories and broad disease vulnerability in a large middle- to older-aged cohort and supports IC as a clinically meaningful, multidomain phenotype of aging and identifies blood-based correlates that may facilitate at-scale future monitoring of aging-related function declines.

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Effect of a sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique: a controlled before-and-after trial

Knee, J.; Sumner, T.; Adriano, Z.; Opondo, C.; Holcomb, D.; Viegas, E.; Nala, R.; Brown, J.; Cumming, O.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350506 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe rapid growth of the worlds urban population has contributed to the expansion of informal urban settlements in many cities across the world. In these settings, lack of safe sanitation combined with high population density and poverty contributes to heightened health risks for often vulnerable populations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique. MethodsThe Maputo Sanitation (MapSan) trial was a controlled before-and-after study to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on child health in Maputo, Mozambique. Here, we report the effects on childhood stunting, wasting and underweight, and height-for-age, weight-for-height and weight-for-age z-scores. Children were enrolled aged 1-48 months at baseline and outcomes were measured before and 12 and 24 months after the intervention, with concurrent measurement among children in a comparable control arm. The primary analysis was intention-to-treat. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02362932. ResultsWe enrolled 757 and 852 children in the intervention and control groups respectively. There was no evidence for an effect of the intervention on any outcome at 12 or 24 months of follow-up except for wasting where there was very weak evidence for an effect (adjusted prevalence ratio: 0.497; 95% CI: 0.22-1.11; p=0.09). In two exploratory analyses - one including only those children born into compounds post-intervention and a second excluding children in control compounds which had independently improved their sanitation facilities during follow-up - we found that stunting increased in the intervention group whilst wasting decreased. ConclusionsThis study contributes to the growing evidence on the role of sanitation in shaping child health outcomes in informal urban settlements. We found no evidence for an effect on stunting and weak evidence for an effect on wasting. More research is needed to understand how sanitation can reduce childhood undernutrition in complex urban environments.

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WITHDRAWN: Detection of Measles Virus RNA in Wastewater: Monitoring for Wild-Type and Vaccine-Derived Strains in a National Preparedness Trial

Ahmed, W.; Gebrewold, M.; Verhagen, R.; Koh, M.; Gazeley, J.; Levy, A.; Simpson, S.; Nolan, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350527 medRxiv
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Wastewater surveillance (WWS) is established as a vital tool for monitoring polio and SARS-CoV-2 with potential to improve surveillance for many other infectious diseases. This study evaluated the feasibility of detecting measles virus (MeV) RNA in wastewater as part of a national WS preparedness trial in Brisbane, Australia, from March to June 2025. Composite and passive sampling methods were employed in parallel at three wastewater treatment plants serving populations between 230,000 and 584,000. Nucleic acids were extracted and analyzed using RT-qPCR targeting MeV N and M genes to distinguish wild-type and vaccine strains. MeV RNA were detected in both 24-hour composite and passive samples on May 26 to 27, 2025 from the largest catchment of 584,000 which also included an international airport. No measles cases were reported in this city or region within 4 weeks of the WS detections. These were confirmed as vaccine-derived measles virus (MeVV) strain via specific RT-qPCR assay. Extraction recoveries varied (11.5% to 70.5%), with passive sampling showing higher efficiency. This is the first report of use of passive samples for detection of MeV. These findings are consistent with other studies reporting WWS results of both MeVV genotype A and wild type genotype B and/or D. It demonstrates the potential for sensitive MeV WWS with rapid differentiation of MeVV from wild type MeV shedding, including in airport transport hubs and with different sample types. Use of WWS could strengthen measles surveillance by enabling rapid detection of MeV RNA and supporting outbreak preparedness and response. This requires optimised methods which are specific to or differentiate wild-type MeV from MeVV. Furthermore, the successful detection of MeV using passive sampling in this study highlights its potential for deployment in diverse global contexts which may include non-sewered settings.

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Understanding community knowledge, attitudes and practices related to participation in household transmission investigations during infectious disease outbreaks

Meagher, N.; Hettiarachchi, D.; Hawkins, M. R.; Tavlian, S.; Spirkoska, V.; McVernon, J.; Carville, K. S.; Price, D. J.; Villanueva Cabezas, J. P.; Marcato, A. J.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350464 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe World Health Organization has developed several global template protocols for epidemiological investigations, including for household transmission investigations (HHTIs). These investigations facilitate rapid characterisation of novel or re-emerging respiratory pathogens and support evidence-based public health actions. Beyond technical readiness, community buy-in is central to the feasibility and acceptability of HHTIs. Research is needed to determine the perceived legitimacy among the community to inform local protocol adaptation and development of implementation plans that consider community attitudes and needs. MethodsIn 2025, we conducted a convenience survey of community members living in Victoria, Australia to explore: their understanding of emerging respiratory diseases; their willingness to take part in public health surveillance activities such as HHTIs; the acceptability of clinical and epidemiological data collection and respiratory/blood sample collection as main components of HHTIs, and; participant comfort towards including their companion animals in HHTIs. ResultsWe received 282 survey responses, of which 235 were included in the analysis dataset. Compared to the general Victorian population, our participants included a higher proportion of participants who reported being female, tertiary-educated, of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander heritage, born in Australia and speaking only English at home. Participants indicated overall high levels of comfort and acceptability towards participation in HHTIs, particularly in relation to clinical and epidemiological data collection, with lesser but still high levels of comfort with providing multiple respiratory specimens in a 14-day period. Participants were least comfortable with other specimens such as urine and blood. Involving companion animals in HHTIs was similarly acceptable as human-focused components. ConclusionsDespite our survey population being non-representative of the general Victorian population, our findings provide valuable descriptive insights into the acceptability of HHTIs in Victoria, Australia from which to benchmark future local and international surveys and community engagement activities.

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SARS-CoV-2 Introductions into Lao PDR Revealed by Genomic Surveillance, 2021-2024

Panapruksachat, S.; Troupin, C.; Souksavanh, M.; Keeratipusana, C.; Vongsouvath, M.; Vongphachanh, S.; Vongsouvath, M.; Phommasone, K.; Somlor, S.; Robinson, M. T.; Chookajorn, T.; Kochakarn, T.; Day, N. P.; Mayxay, M.; Letizia, A. G.; Dubot-Peres, A.; Ashley, E. A.; Buchy, P.; Xangsayarath, P.; Batty, E. M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26349480 medRxiv
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We used 2492 whole genome sequences from Laos to investigate the molecular epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 from 2021 through 2024, covering the major waves of COVID-19 disease in Laos including time periods of travel restrictions and after relaxation of travel across international borders. We identify successive waves of COVID-19 caused by shifts in the dominant lineage, beginning with the Alpha variant in April 2021 and continuing through the Delta and Omicron variants. We quantify a shift from a small number of viral introductions responsible for widespread transmission in early waves to a larger number of introductions for each variant after travel restrictions were lifted, and identify potential routes of introduction into the country. Our study underscores the importance of genomic surveillance to public health responses to characterize viral transmission dynamics during pandemics.

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Time to diagnosis among children and adolescents with cancer in Quebec, Canada: a population-based study

Mullen, C.; Barr, R. D.; Strumpf, E.; El-Zein, M.; Franco, E. L.; Malagon, T.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350491 medRxiv
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BackgroundTimely cancer diagnosis in children and adolescents is critical to improving outcomes, yet substantial variation in diagnostic intervals persists across cancer types and care settings. We aimed to quantify time to diagnosis and assess variations by patient, demographic, and system-level factors. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective population-based study of children and adolescents aged 0-19 years diagnosed with one of 12 common cancers between 2010 and 2022 in Quebec, Canada. The diagnostic interval was defined as the time from first cancer-related healthcare encounter to diagnosis. We calculated medians and interquartile ranges (IQR) overall and by cancer type and used multivariable quantile regression to identify factors associated with time to diagnosis at the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles. ResultsAmong 2,927 individuals with cancer, diagnostic intervals varied by cancer type and age. Median intervals were longest for carcinomas (100 days; IQR 33-192) and shortest for leukemias (8 days; IQR 3-44). Compared with children living in Montreal, living in regional areas and other large urban centres was associated with longer 50th and 75th percentiles of time to diagnosis for hepatic and central nervous system (CNS) tumours. Diagnostic intervals were shorter in the post-pandemic period (2020-2022) across several cancer sites, with CNS tumours showing reductions across all quantiles. InterpretationDiagnostic timeliness differed by cancer type, age, and rurality, but not by sex, material, or social deprivation. The shorter diagnostic intervals observed in the post-pandemic period suggest that pandemic-related changes in care pathways may have expedited diagnosis for some cancers.

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Recombinant zoster vaccination in patients with dementia is associated with improved survival and better cognitive preservation

Soltys, K.; Sara-Buchbut, R.; Ish Shalom, N.; Stokar, J.; Klein, B. Y.; Calderon-Margalit, R.; Greenblatt, C. L.; Ben-Haim, M. S.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350509 medRxiv
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Dementia affects tens of millions of people worldwide, yet disease-modifying treatments remain strikingly limited. Although the recombinant zoster vaccine Shingrix has been associated with reduced dementia incidence, its potential influence on individuals already living with dementia is unknown. Here, we followed a propensity-score matched cohort of 68,960 US dementia patients using a nationwide electronic health record network, comparing Shingrix recipients within two years of diagnosis to recipients of any other vaccine. Shingrix was associated with substantially reduced all-cause mortality across the first three years of follow-up (hazard ratios 0.74, 0.88, and 0.89; P[&le;]0.006), robust across multiple sensitivity analyses. Furthermore, within-individual subgroup analyses of repeated Mini-Mental State Examinations conducted 3-6 years apart revealed significantly divergent cognitive decline rates across groups (time-by-group interaction P=0.002). Interval vaccination was associated with more stable cognition, contrasting with steeper declines in unvaccinated individuals. These findings support prospective evaluation of recombinant zoster vaccination as a potential strategy to improve outcomes in patients with established dementia.

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Wearable-derived physiological features for trans-diagnostic disease comparison and classification in the All of Us longitudinal real-world dataset

Huang, X.; Hsieh, C.; Nguyen, Q.; Renteria, M. E.; Gharahkhani, P.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350352 medRxiv
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Wearable-derived physiological features have been associated with disease risk, but most current studies focus on single conditions, limiting understanding of cross-disease patterns. This study adopts a trans-diagnostic approach to examine whether wearable data capture shared and condition-specific physiological signatures across multiple chronic conditions spanning physical and mental health, and then evaluates the utility of these features for disease classification. A total of 9,301 patients with at least 21 days of consecutive FitBit data from the All of Us Controlled Tier Dataset version 8 were analyzed. Disease subcohorts included cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), major depressive disorder (MDD), anxiety, bipolar disorder, and attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), chosen based on prevalence and relevance. Logistic regression and XGBoost models were fitted for each disease subcohort versus the control cohort. We found that compared to using just baseline demographic and lifestyle features, incorporating wearable-derived features enabled improved classification performance in all subcohorts for both models, except for ADHD where improvement was mainly observed for ROC-AUC in logistic regression model likely due to the smaller sample size in ADHD subcohort. The largest performance gains were observed in MDD (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for Logistic regression, 0.071 for XGBoost; p < 0.001) and anxiety (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for logistic regression, 0.108 for XGBoost; p < 0.001). This study provides one of the first comprehensive transdiagnostic evaluations of wearable-derived features for disease classification, highlighting their potential to enhance risk stratification in the real-world setting as a practical complement to clinical assessments and providing a foundation to explore more fine-grained wearable data. Author summaryWearable devices such as fitness trackers and smartwatches are becoming increasingly popular and affordable, providing continuous measurements of heart rate, physical activity, and sleep. Alongside the growing digitization of health records, this creates new opportunities for large-scale, real-world health studies. In this study, we analyzed wearable-derived physiological patterns across a range of chronic conditions spanning both physical and mental health to better understand how these signals relate to disease risk. We found that incorporating wearable-derived heart rate, activity and sleep features improved disease risk classification across several conditions, with particularly strong gains for major depressive disorder and anxiety. By examining how individual features contributed to model predictions, we also identified meaningful associations between physiological signals and disease risk. For example, both duration and day-to-day variation of deep and rapid eye movement (REM) sleep were associated with increased risk in certain conditions. Our study supports the development of real-time, automated tools to assess disease risk alongside clinical care.

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Non-genetic component of height as a surrogate marker for childhood socioeconomic position and its association with cardiovascular and brain health: results from HCHS/SOL

Moon, J.-Y.; Filigrana, P.; Gallo, L. C.; Perreira, K. M.; Cai, J.; Daviglus, M.; Fernandez-Rhodes, L. E.; Garcia-Bedoya, O.; Qi, Q.; Thyagarajan, B.; Tarraf, W.; Wang, T.; Kaplan, R.; Isasi, C. R.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350438 medRxiv
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Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.

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Five-Domain Accelerometer-Derived Behavioral Exposome and Incident Cancer Risk in UK Biobank

Ni Chan Chin (Chengqin Ni), M.; Berrio, J. A.

2026-04-12 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350369 medRxiv
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BackgroundAccelerometer-derived behavioral phenotype captures multidimensional aspects of human behavior extending well beyond physical activity, encompassing light exposure, step counts, physical activity patterns, sleep, and circadian rhythms. Whether these five domains constitute a unified behavioral architecture underlying cancer risk and whether circadian organization and light exposure confer incremental predictive value beyond movement volume alone remains to be comprehensively established. MethodsWe conducted an accelerometer-wide association study (AWAS) encompassing the complete accelerometer-derived behavioral exposome across five behavioral domains in UK Biobank participants with valid wrist accelerometry data. Incident solid cancers were designated as the primary endpoint, with prespecified site-specific solid cancers and hematological malignancy as secondary outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models with age as the timescale were used. The minimal covariate set served as the primary reporting tier, followed by sensitivity analyses additionally adjusting for adiposity/metabolic factors, independent activity patterns, shift work history, and accelerometry measurement quality. Nominal statistical significance was defined as two-sided P < 0.05 ResultsAmong 89,080 participants, 6,598 incident solid cancer events were observed over a median follow-up of 8.39 years. In the minimally adjusted model, the pan-solid-tumor association atlas was dominated by signals from activity volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythm. Higher overall acceleration (HR per SD: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.89-0.94) and higher daily step counts (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90-0.95) were independently associated with reduced solid cancer risk, while inactivity fragmentation metrics were consistently linked to higher risk. Notably, circadian rhythms, most prominently cosinor mesor (Midline Estimating Statistic of Rhythm under cosinor model), emerged as leading inverse risk signals, underscoring the independent contribution of circadian behavioral architecture. Site-specific analyses revealed pronounced heterogeneity across tumor sites. Lung cancer exhibited a robust inverse activity-risk gradient, while breast cancer showed reproducible associations with MVPA. Most strikingly, nocturnal light exposure demonstrated a tumor-site-specific association confined to pancreatic cancer, a signal absent across all other sites examined. Associations for uterine cancer were predominantly inactivity-related and substantially attenuated following adjustment for adiposity and metabolic factors. ConclusionsAcross five accelerometer-derived behavioral domains, solid cancers as a whole were most consistently associated with a high-movement, low-fragmentation, and circadian-coherent behavioral profile. While site-specific heterogeneity exists, the broad cancer risk landscape is dominated by movement volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythmicity. Light exposure, although more localized in its contribution, demonstrates a potentially novel and specific association with pancreatic cancer risk. These findings support a five-domain behavioral exposome framework for cancer epidemiology and, importantly, position circadian rhythm integrity and nocturnal light exposure as critically understudied dimensions warranting dedicated mechanistic investigation.

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Dengue risk perception and public preferences for vector control in Italy and France: utility and regret-based choice experiments

Andrei, F.; Tizzoni, M.; Veltri, G. A.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350604 medRxiv
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Background: Dengue is rapidly emerging in parts of Europe. How households value vector control attributes, and whether inferences depend on decision models or message framing, is unclear. Methods: We conducted a split-ballot online experiment among adults in Italy and France, as well as a hotspot subsample from Marche, Italy. National samples included 1,505 respondents in Italy and 1,501 in France; 183 respondents were recruited in Marche. Participants were randomised to a discrete choice experiment (random utility maximisation) or a regret-based choice experiment (random regret minimisation) and to one of three pre-task messages (control, loss aversion, community values). Each respondent completed 12 choice tasks comparing two dengue control programmes and an opt-out. We estimated mixed logit and mixed random-regret models with random parameters and treatment effects. Results: Across frameworks, nearby cases and high mosquito prevalence were the dominant drivers of programme uptake, whereas cost and operational burden were secondary. In pooled analyses, loss-aversion messaging increased the weight on high mosquito prevalence in both models (from 0.483 to 0.547 in the utility model; from 0.478 to 0.557 in the regret model). Cost effects were small nationally but larger in the hotspot subsample. Conclusions: Risk salience dominates preferences for dengue vector control in these European settings. Random utility and random regret models yield consistent rankings of attributes but differ in behavioural interpretation and some secondary effects; messaging effects were modest and context dependent.

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Prevalence and Factors Associated with Family-Based HIV Index Case Testing in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, 2023: A Cross-Sectional Study

Koyra, A. B.; Mohammed, F.; Eshete, T.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350444 medRxiv
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BackgroundFamily-based HIV index case testing identifies family members with unknown HIV status and links them to care. Data are limited in southern Ethiopia. MethodsA facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 377 adults on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, from November 2022 to May 2023. Participants were selected using systematic random sampling. Data were collected via interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaire. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with index case family testing. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and statistical significance was declared at p < 0.05. ResultsThe proportion of index case family testing for HIV was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.2- 88.6). In multivariable analysis, urban residence (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.16-6.75), duration on ART greater than 12 months (AOR = 13.0; 95% CI: 4.6-36.9), disclosure of HIV status to family members (AOR = 5.6; 95% CI: 1.9-16.5), discussion of HIV status with family members (AOR = 6.6; 95% CI: 1.9-23.2), and being counselled by health professionals to bring families for testing (AOR = 6.3; 95% CI: 2.1-19.0) were significantly associated with index case family testing. ConclusionThe prevalence of family-based HIV index case testing in Wolaita Zone was 84.9%, below the national 95% target. Health professionals should strengthen counselling on ART adherence, status disclosure, family discussion, and active referral to improve testing uptake among family members of people living with HIV.